RBA outlook

In Australia, the minutes from the RBA’s last Board meeting confirmed that the door is wide open for another rate cut at its August 2 meeting. While not as direct as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the RBA indicated that it was waiting on further information on inflation, the labour market and the housing market and the next update of the RBA’s economic forecasts. Since it has described the labour market and the housing market as “mixed” and recent data on both suggest no reason to change that assessment, the implication from the RBA is that should we see another low inflation reading when the June quarter CPI numbers are released on Wednesday then it’s likely that the RBA will cut the cash rate from 1.75% to 1.5% on August 2. A CPI outcome of 0.4% quarter on quarter for headline and underlying – which is what we expect – would likely be enough to see the RBA cut again.

Stop paying ATM fee’s

Commonwealth Bank (CBA) signage in Sydney, Wednesday, June 9, 2014. (AAP Image/Joel Carrett) NO ARCHIVING

Commonwealth Bank (CBA) signage in Sydney, Wednesday, June 9, 2014. (AAP Image/Joel Carrett) NO ARCHIVING

It amazes me after reading the article from the SBS that Australians are still paying over half a billion dollars a year in ATM fees.


Why would you pay for ATM fees when ING offer the ability to use any ATM in Australia for free (any bank, anywhere) when you deposit your pay of $1,000+ each month into there Orange Everyday account.

Retrospective negative gearing changes ‘blatantly inequitable’

The political commentary regarding retrospective changes to negative gearing is concerning, the head of tax at an international accounting firm has warned.


BDO tax partner Eddie Chung says wind back negative gearing benefits on a retrospective basis penalises hard-working Australians for being financially responsible.


“People make medium to long term economic decisions based on the law at the time, and while some may argue the environment has changed to warrant the wind back of negative gearing benefits, doing so retrospectively and applying it to people who have already bought properties on which negative gearing benefits are claimed would be tantamount to penalising them for planning ahead and being financial responsible,” Chung said.


“These people should not be penalised for choosing an option that would make themselves financially self-sufficient, rather than having to rely on the Government for assistance when they retire.”


In fact, Chung claims it is “blatantly inequitable” and could destabilise the economy.


“It could undermine the stability of the economic environment, which may have a far reaching impact on market confidence and therefore the stability of the economy.


“It is akin to telling people who have been saving for years through their superannuation funds the environment has now changed and the Government will seize all superannuation benefits to balance the budget.


“You simply don’t tinker with people’s medium to long term plans because these plans need political and economic certainty to achieve their intended outcome, which underwrites the economic future of this country.


“Even if negative gearing changes are to be entertained, allowing these changes to apply retrospectively must not be an option.”



Retrospective negative gearing changes ‘blatantly inequitable’ . 2016. Retrospective negative gearing changes ‘blatantly inequitable’ . [ONLINE] Available at: [Accessed 29 February 2016].

Demand for property still strong, says report

The property market is still alive and well, the results of a new report by a non-major lender has revealed.


ME’s latest Property Buying Intentions Report indicates demand for residential property may remain strong over the next 12 months despite prudential changes and tightening of lending criteria for some home buyers.


The report shows a big jump in demand for property by owner occupiers potentially offsetting falling demand by investors, while buyers continue to outnumber sellers.


According to the Report, among those actively looking to buy property in 2016 in the six months to December 2015, there was a 5 point increase to 50% in the proportion looking to buy a home to live in. This offset a 5 point fall to 33% in the proportion looking to buy an investment property over the same period.


The report also revealed that buyers continue to outnumber sellers by more than two-to-one.


ME treasurer, John Caelli, said these findings indicate property demand pressures from buyers are likely to remain strong over the next 12 months.


“While recent tightening in bank prudential regulations and lending criteria have reduced the proportion of investor buyers, overall demand for property may remain strong due to increased demand by owner occupier buyers,” he said.


“Demand expectations from buyers may also remain strong due to unmet demand from owner occupiers supported by continued low borrowing costs and recent improvements in the labour market.”


The report also found that 25% of Gen Y intends to buy an owner occupied property in the next 12 months, the most of any age group. Similarly, 8% of Gen X intends to buy an investment property in the next 12 months, the most of any age group.




“Demand for property still strong, says report . 2016. Demand for property still strong, says report . [ONLINE] Available at: [Accessed 26 January 2016].”

New home sales continue to fall

New home sales dropped by 2.7% in November 2015, recording its third consecutive monthly decline.  The drop in new home sales was largely driven by a 15.1% drop in ‘multi-unit’ sales, the New Homes Sales Report by the Housing Industry Association (HIA) showed. Detached house sales increased by 1.1% due to a stronger November across the eastern seaboard.

However, over the three months to November last year detached house sales fell by 4.1% while the sale of multi-units dropped by 11.8%.

HIA chief economist, Dr Harley Dale, said a number of factors were at play in the declining new home sales.  “The lagged effect of slowing population growth, an up-tick in variable mortgage costs, over-reach on the part of APRA’s credit controls, and an easing in property price growth in Sydney and Melbourne are all in play.”

But whilst new home sales are on the descent, the construction of new homes reached a record high in the September 2015 quarter.  The construction of new homes over the quarter rose 0.5% with a quarterly record of 55,532 new building starts, according to figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). This means that at the September quarter, a record 194,252 homes in total were being built – the most in Australian history. Just over 65% of the dwellings being built are apartments.

Investment lending suffers biggest fall in 7 years


Investment lending has suffered the largest fall in seven years, news figures reveal, as the regulator crackdown hits the market in full swing. According to the latest housing finance figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the value of investment lending tumbled 8.5% in September.  The total value of housing finance commitments dropped 1.6% over the month, buoyed by a 3% rise in finance for owner-occupied home loans.  In total, investment loans made up approximately 36.9% of all loans written over September, down from 39.4% in August and 41.4% in July.

Low 3yr Fixed rate for Owner Occupiers 3.95%

Take advantage of this Low 3year Fixed rate.

3 year Fixed rate 3.95%

Comparison rate 4.92%

Please call our office today 02 4735 6644 and ask to speak with our home loan specialist Tyron Tanti


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Note: Fixed rate loans are available to 90% LVR including LMI. This maximum LVR applies to all fixed rate applications, including transfers. All rates above will apply to new applications only to Bankwest, submitted on or after 7 October 2015. Existing customers will continue to receive the rate as at the time their application was submitted.Rate is for owner occupiers only. Additional margins apply when the loan purpose is for investment purposes. Investment purpose includes but is not limited to, funds for shares, land, construction or an established dwelling (including re-finance of investment loans) for investment purposes. Where a loan contains multiple purposes if any purpose is for investment then customers will not be eligible for this rate.Important information to know: Comparison rate is calculated on the statutory assumption of a $150,000 loan over 25 years but the minimum required loan amount is $200,000. Different rates apply for different loan amounts and may depend on the duration of a fixed rate period or the ratio of the loan amount to the property value. WARNING: This comparison rate is true only for the examples given and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Costs such as redraw fees or early repayment fees, and cost savings such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan. Rates subject to change

The Reserve Bank has left the official cash rate on hold

Ty White

The Reserve Bank has left the official cash rate on hold at 2% for the fifth consecutive month at its October monetary policy board meeting.


Mortgage Choice CEO John Flavell isn’t ruling out future cash rate cuts.

“Of course, today’s decision doesn’t mean we have necessarily seen the last of the rate cuts. What happens both locally and abroad over the next few months will determine the future actions of the Reserve Bank. If consumer sentiment, business confidence and economic growth perform sluggishly, we may see the Reserve Bank cut rates again,” he said.

Cash rate unlikely to be dropped


by Julia Corderoy | 31 Aug 2015


The cash rate is tipped to remain on hold at its record low when the Reserve Bank meets tomorrow. However, the housing market isn’t likely to receive any spring time surge.


All but one economist in’s monthly Reserve Bank survey expect the cash rate to remain on hold at 2% as we enter the first month of spring, as the central bank continues to assess the impact of the latest two rate cuts in February and May. The one remaining respondent expects the market will see a cash rate drop.


But despite the cash rate being tipped to remain on hold at its historical low, the majority of the economists and analysts surveyed don’t think it is likely to affect the housing market and cause a spring time surge in home sales.


Just under 60% expect auction clearance rates to remain stable at its current level, while more than one in three experts (34%) expect auction clearance rates will drop.


Looking ahead, almost eight in ten (78%) expect that the cash rate will remain on hold for the remainder of 2015, while 5% say the Reserve Bank is still likely to drop the cash rate.


Looking even further ahead and more than half (56%) believe that 2016 will be the year the cash rate will begin to rise, with the fourth quarter of the year the most likely period for this to happen.


Thirty-two economists and analysts participated in this month’s Reserve Bank survey.


Cash rate unlikely to be dropped . 2015. Cash rate unlikely to be dropped . [ONLINE] Available at: [Accessed 30 August 2015].


RBA makes cash rate call

The Reserve Bank of Australia has left the cash rate on hold at 2% at its June board meeting today, after dropping it by 25 basis points last month. 
The decision to hold rates steady didn’t come as a surprise to the market, with economists and analysts unanimously agreeing that the cash rate would remain on hold today, according a Reserve Bank survey conducted by
Shane Oliver, AMP Capital’s head of investment strategy and chief economist, predicted the Reserve Bank would keep rates on hold while the assessed how the May rate cut filtered through the economy.
“Having cut in May, the Reserve Bank will prefer to sit back and see if it’ll be enough.”
Michael Witts, head of treasury at ING Direct said the popular reaction to the federal budget would give the central bank enough confidence to keep the cash rate steady at 2%.
“The budget appears to have gained positive traction and nothing has fundamentally changed in the economy over the past month.”
While Bill Evans, chief economist at Westpac said the Reserve Bank is likely to keep rates on hold for the next few months. The next significant meeting won’t be until the end of the year.
“We have consistently argued that 2% will be ‘the resting place’ for this easing cycle. The Reserve Bank will now take time to assess the sustainability of their current forecast that economic growth in 2016 will exceed 3%… For our part the next significant date will be the November Board meeting.”